Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Siena)


	Siena		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.95
	2.23	2.85	3.15
	2.14	3.02	3.5
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.22	2.9	3.44	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	2.92 ↑ (2.73)	3.26 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
41.3%

Draw
31%

Pontedera
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Siena - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Pontedera will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siena: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Siena won 2.

Recent matches Siena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontedera is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Siena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Siena won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.23	Siena - Olbia	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Montevarchi - Siena	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Siena - Imolese	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	Reggiana - Siena	4:0 ✺
23.12.22	Siena - Ancona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLT
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.23	Pontedera - Cesena	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Pontedera - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
09.01.23	Ancona - Pontedera	3:0 ✺
23.12.22	Pontedera - Olbia	5:4 ✺
17.12.22	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Siena - Pontedera	0:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.22	Pontedera - Siena	0:2
14.04.22	Pontedera - Siena	1:2
12.12.21	Siena - Pontedera	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.19	Siena - Pontedera	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.10.19	Siena - Pontedera	2:0
30.01.19	Pontedera - Siena	3:2 penalties

Siena - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide