Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cesena		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.3	4.75	10
	1.35	4.59	9.83
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.28	4.65	9.95
	1.3	4.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	4.62 ↑ (3.9)	9.75 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
70.7%

Draw
19.9%

Pontedera
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

23%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

21.9%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Cesena - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pisseri M. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Prestia G. 28. Silvestri L. 17. Adamo E. 5. Varone I. 20. De Rose F. (C) 7. Donnarumma D. 14. Berti T. 10. Kargbo A. 9. Shpendi C.	12. Ciocci G. (G) 18. Guidi M. 5. Martinelli R. 4. Calvani G. 21. Perretta G. 16. Ignacchiti L. 27. Provenzano A. 7. Ambrosini M. 10. Benedetti G. 11. Ianesi S. 9. Fossati D.
Substitutes
4. Chiarello R. 18. Corazza S. 25. David A. 77. Francesconi M. 22. Montalti W. (G) 11. Ogunseye R. 26. Piacentini M. 24. Pierozzi E. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G)	3. Angori S. 20. Delpupo I. 2. Gagliardi L. 1. Lewis L. (G) 14. Lombardi A. 8. Marrone F. 6. Pretato M. 26. Selleri G. 30. Vivoli N. (G)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Cesena is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pontedera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cesena is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cesena won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
14.01.24	SPAL - Cesena	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Cesena - Olbia	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Perugia - Cesena	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Cesena - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Recanatese - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWTW
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
13.01.24	Pontedera - Fermana	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Olbia - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.12.23	Pontedera - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.09.23	Pontedera - Cesena	1:3
28.01.23	Pontedera - Cesena	0:3
24.09.22	Cesena - Pontedera	1:1
27.02.22	Pontedera - Cesena	2:0
19.10.21	Cesena - Pontedera	2:1

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