Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.05	4.25
	1.84	3.13	4.52
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.86	3.05	4.55	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.5)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)	4.25 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
49.2%

Draw
29.4%

Vis Pesaro
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandria's performance.

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vis Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Alessandria - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Alessandria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vis Pesaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alessandria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
19.02.23	Sassari Torres - Alessandria	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Alessandria - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pontedera - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alessandria - Rimini	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Carrarese - Alessandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTLLW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
19.02.23	Lucchese - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Vis Pesaro - Rimini	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
31.01.23	Vis Pesaro - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.22	Vis Pesaro - Alessandria	0:0

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