Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Alfaro		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.15	1.8
	4.43	3.19	1.87
	4.28	3.19	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.23	3.14	1.84
	4.33	3.14	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alfaro
21.3%

Draw
29%

Real Unión de Irun
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

28.5%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

27.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Alfaro - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Soroeta J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Garcia U. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Alfaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Unión is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Real Unión is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Alfaro - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 22.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Beasain - Alfaro	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alfaro - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Alfaro - Ejea	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amorebieta - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Utebo	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWT

Upcoming Matches