Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Basconia		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.2	1.92
	3.65	3.31	2.02
	2.99	3.31	2.19	Watch
	3.64	3.64	1.93
	2.82	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.99)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	2.08 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
27.8%

Draw
27.7%

Real Unión de Irun
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Basconia - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Basconia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Unión has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Basconia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Basconia - Náxara	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ejea - Basconia	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Basconia - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Amorebieta - Basconia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Eibar B - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTT

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