Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Unión Huaral

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.75	8.25
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.33	4.69	7.29
	1.5	4	5
	1.29	5.2	8.6
	1.29	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)	4.64 ↑ (3.83)	7.34 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
68%

Draw
19.6%

Unión Huaral
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfonso Ugarte de Puno's performance.

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfonso Ugarte de Puno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Huaral Predictions

Users Predictions: Alfonso Ugarte de Puno will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Alfonso Ugarte has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unión Huaral is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alfonso Ugarte is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
10.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
10.08.23	Unión Huaral - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
04.08.23	Carlos Stein - Unión Huaral	3:3 ✺
29.07.23	Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
24.05.23	Unión Huaral - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1
11.09.22	Unión Huaral - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:0
12.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Huaral	1:1

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Huaral