Match Info
National League North - Round 28Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday
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Alfreton Town |
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Bedford Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
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2.02 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
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2.02 |
3.34 |
3.7 |
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1.98 |
3.52 |
3.58 |
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2 |
3.25 |
3.6 |
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1.97 |
3.24 |
3.53 |
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1.96 |
3.25 |
3.66 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.23) |
3.36 ↓ (3.69) |
3.52 ↑ (2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town 46.4% | Draw 27.4% | Bedford Town 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alfreton Town - Bedford Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Doherty R. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 2, Marsh T. ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 2, Wallace K. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).Alfreton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bedford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games. Alfreton could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Bedford: 2.29%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;