Match Info

National League North - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Peterborough Sports

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.55	3.75
	1.97	3.45	4.07
	1.8	3.74	4.04	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.9	3.53	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)	3.51 ↑ (3.45)	3.87 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
49.6%

Draw
26.4%

Peterborough Sports
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alfreton Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Booth M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 2.

Alfreton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peterborough Sports is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alfreton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alfreton Town - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
10.03.26	Alfreton Town - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	AFC Telford United - Alfreton Town	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLLWW
- Peterborough Sports FC
English National League North
10.03.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Peterborough Sports	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Peterborough Sports - Southport	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Peterborough Sports - South Shields	0:3 ✺
24.02.26	Bedford Town - Peterborough Sports	4:1 ✺
21.02.26	Radcliffe - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:1
12.04.25	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:0
05.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	3:1
23.01.24	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:1
15.08.23	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:1
07.04.23	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:2
27.09.22	Alfreton Town - Peterborough Sports	2:2

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