The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town 35.6%
Draw 26.3%
Merthyr Town 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
25.6%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
24.1%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Evans K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Freeman K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ayres J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alfreton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alfreton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Watch
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