Match Info

National League North - Round 30

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Aggborough Stadium (Kidderminster)


	Kidderminster Harriers		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	6.5
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.44	4.15	6.5
	1.46	4.14	7.33
	1.45	4.19	6.96	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.43	3.88	7.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	4.01 ↓ (4.48)	6.87 ↓ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
63.8%

Draw
22.9%

Alfreton Town
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

19.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Kidderminster Harriers aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Reynolds R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 2.

In recent matches, Kidderminster has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alfreton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kidderminster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kidderminster has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kidderminster is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kidderminster won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kidderminster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English FA Trophy
28.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League North
24.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Marine	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Macclesfield Town - Kidderminster Harriers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWTTL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
24.02.26	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alfreton Town - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Fylde - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Chester - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	King`s Lynn Town - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.11.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
15.02.25	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2
21.09.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1
02.05.23	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1
25.03.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:0
02.12.22	Alfreton Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1
05.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1

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