The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town 45.1%
Draw 25.1%
United of Manchester 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
26.7%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
27%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-3%)
Alfreton Town - United of Manchester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Ligendza S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Salmon L. ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 22nd in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1.
Alfreton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
United of Manchester is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alfreton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alfreton holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Alfreton has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alfreton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Alfreton
12
6
0
6
18:13
5
18
22
FC United
10
1
2
7
12:20
-8
5
Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 46.29%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
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