Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Alfreton Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.6	3.6	2.05
	3.84	3.6	2.04
	3.84	3.6	1.97
	3.4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.58	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.05)	3.55 ↓ (3.69)	1.99 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
26%

Draw
26.6%

Walsall
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.1%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Alfreton Town - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Walsall will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Willis G. (G) 2. Clackstone J. 4. Lund A. 6. Wiley D. 23. Newall N. 7. Thewlis J. 8. Cantrill G. 12. Perritt H. 14. Brisley S. (C) 29. Taylor R. 22. Fewster B.	22. Smith J. (G) 2. Okagbue D. 5. Daniels D. (C) 6. Farquharson P. 3. Gordon L. 10. Knowles T. 4. McEntee O. 25. Stirk R. 8. Hutchinson I. 26. Tierney R. 15. Draper F.
Substitutes
13. Askew J. (G) 9. Day J. 5. Digie K. 21. Grewal-Pollard W. 17. Oliver J. 11. Salmon L. 16. Stacey J. 10. Waldock L.	21. Allen T. 32. Barrett G. (G) 14. Comley B. 17. Earing J. 12. Foulkes J. 11. James-Taylor D. 9. Matt J. 27. Thomas D. 19. Williams H.
Coaches
Heath B.	Sadler M. J.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The competitors look crappy now.

Walsall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
25.11.23	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Rushall Olympic - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Alfreton Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- Walsall FC
English League Two
28.11.23	Barrow - Walsall	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	3:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Walsall - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.23	Sheppey United - Walsall	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.19	Alfreton Town - Walsall	2:1
22.07.14	Alfreton Town - Walsall	2:0
16.07.13	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:6

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