The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rushall Olympic 26.9%
Draw 27.7%
Alfreton Town 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
26.2%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
26.1%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Rushall Olympic - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Abbey J. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Benbow L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
88', 1 - 2, Day J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Salmon L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent matches Rushall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alfreton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.
Alfreton will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Rushall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Rushall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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