Match Info

League Two - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.52	3.15	2.78
	2.65	3.25	2.87
	2.47	3.01	3	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.62	3.1	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.21)	2.8 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
36.6%

Draw
30.1%

Walsall
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walsall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Barrow - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Walsall will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 4. Williams M. (C) 2. MacDonald A. 22. Anderson J. 14. McCann C. 34. Whitfield B. 8. Smith S. 45. Harper R. 7. Jackson B. 20. Fletcher I. 33. Rose D.	1. Roberts M. (G) 33. Browne R. 6. Farquharson P. 4. Flint A. (C) 3. Hancock M. 22. Jellis J. 14. Comley B. 8. Lakin C. 25. Okeke J. 15. Kanu D. 37. Adomah A.
Substitutes
15. Hemmings K. 23. Mahoney C. 19. Malcolm J. 11. Newby E. 5. Raglan C. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	2. Barrett C. 5. Burke H. 17. Clarke C. 18. Harper V. 12. Hornby S. (G) 11. Loupalo-Bi A. 19. Pressley A.
Coaches
Foley S.	Byfield D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Adomah A. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Hancock M. ⚽, Lakin C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jackson B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
55', Whitfield B. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
67', Anderson J. 🟨,
68', 0 - 3, Hancock M. ⚽,
72', MacDonald A. ↓, Raglan C. ↑,
73', Rose D. ↓, Hemmings K. ↑,
73', Okeke J. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
78', Fletcher I. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
82', Kanu D. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
82', Adomah A. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Malcolm J. ⚽, Hemmings K. (A),
89', Comley B. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
90', Farquharson P. ↓, Burke H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Walsall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Injury) Raglan C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Barrow: Canavan N. (Inactive) Earing J. (Inactive) Hemmings K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Walsall: Chang A. (Inactive) Matt J. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Walsall: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Walsall - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
14.04.26	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Barnet - Barrow	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Barrow - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Barrow - Bromley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLTW
- Walsall FC
English League Two
11.04.26	Walsall - Cheltenham Town	0:4 ✺
06.04.26	Swindon Town - Walsall	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Walsall - Gillingham	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Colchester United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Walsall - Newport County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.10.25	Walsall - Barrow	1:2
12.04.25	Barrow - Walsall	2:0
14.12.24	Walsall - Barrow	1:0
12.03.24	Walsall - Barrow	1:1
28.11.23	Barrow - Walsall	2:0
04.03.23	Walsall - Barrow	0:1
16.08.22	Barrow - Walsall	2:1

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