The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town 22.1%
Draw 24.5%
Macclesfield Town 53.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
27.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.5%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.
Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macclesfield Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macclesfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Buckley I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 2, Gale J. ⚽,
Preview
Postponed due to a tragic event in Macclesfield team.
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1.
Alfreton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Macclesfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Macclesfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Macclesfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Macclesfield: 18.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Macclesfield
10
6
3
1
13:6
7
21
Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.01%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Macclesfield Town - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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