Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.63
	2.68	2.92	2.68
	2.8	2.95	2.87
	2.79	2.83	2.79	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.7
	2.73	2.8	2.58
	2.66	2.71	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.72)	2.84 ↓ (3.12)	2.71 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
34%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Madrid B
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeciras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Ruiz V. 6. Mayorga A. 11. Sanchez T. 24. Castro O. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 2. Arauz C. 10. Garrido D. 19. Obeng I. 9. Gonzaga M.	13. Esquivel S. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 12. Spina G. 5. Martinez D. 3. Diaz J. 6. Serrano J. (C) 18. Bellotti M. 7. Luque I. 10. Belaid R. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Llorente M.
Substitutes
20. Alamo J. 17. Aviles J. 21. Garcia J. 16. Gomez A. 3. Marquez J. 5. Montes E. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G) 7. Rastrojo J.	4. Bonar J. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 9. Janneh O. 11. Koke 26. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 15. Puric A. 21. Sits D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Garrido D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gimenez C. ↓, Bonar J. ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Bellotti M. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
71', Llorente M. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
72', Garrido D. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
72', Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↓, Alamo J. ↑,
76', Sanchez T. 🟨,
86', Diaz J. 🟨,
88', Ortiz A. ↓, Koke ↑,
88', Luque I. ↓, Janneh O. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent performances by Algeciras have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Madrid B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Algeciras - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.12%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Algeciras - Antequera	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Teruel	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - CE Europa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.03.25	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	1:0
11.01.25	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	1:1
28.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Algeciras	3:1
26.11.23	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	2:2

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