The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Algeciras 42.6%
Draw 32.4%
Fuenlabrada 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
32.3%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
30.9%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Algeciras - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Venteo I. (G) 20. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 4. Spatz L. M. 22. Coch A. 3. Merchan D. 6. Montes E. 19. Illesca M. 23. Gomez J. 8. Turrillo I. 10. Esteban Diego 7. Rodri
1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 20. Casas I. 5. Alba D. 6. Alvaro Garcia 3. Barbu 8. Ruiz Fer 10. Galindo A. 16. Aguza S. 15. Moyano A. 11. Abde 9. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
21. Celorio N. 31. Dominiguez C. 25. Fernandez D. (G) 15. Fernandez M. 5. Gaixas A. 9. Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. 18. Hernandez Garcia J. 14. Javi Alonso 17. Leiva A. 2. Roldan R.
13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 7. Manu 4. Mauro M. 21. Nene 17. Ouacharaf B. 18. Sangare L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ruiz Fer 🟨,
26', Abde 🟨,
31', Coch A. ↓, Gaixas A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Barbu 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Esteban Diego (Pen),
60', Adot Barandiaran P. A. 🟨,
62', Casas I. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Omoigui C. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
74', Turrillo I. 🟨,
75', Turrillo I. ↓, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ↑,
75', Rodri ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
78', Barbu ↓, Nene ↑,
78', Galindo A. ↓, Manu ↑,
80', Aguza S. 🟨,
85', Esteban Diego ↓, Roldan R. ↑,
85', Gomez J. ↓, Hernandez Garcia J. ↑,
86', Aguza S. ↓, Javi Curras ↑,
86', Ruiz Fer ↓, Faure I. ↑,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 15).
Recent matches Algeciras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Algeciras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Algeciras will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1