Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 3


	Alianza Lima		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.85	3	2.6
	2.85	3	2.65	Watch
	2.92	3.03	2.73
	2.92	3.03	2.73
	2.7	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.86	3.08	2.61	Watch
	2.8	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
33.1%

Draw
31%

Colo-Colo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Alianza Lima - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (G) 2. Freytes J. 5. Zambrano C. 6. Garces R. 26. Serna K. 10. Rodriguez S. 27. Cabellos C. 22. Arregui A. 29. Ramos J. 9. Barcos H. (C) 7. Zanelatto F.	1. Cortes B. (G) 11. Bolados M. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. (C) 34. Pizarro V. 5. Gil L. 9. Pizarro D. 7. Carlos Palacios
Substitutes
15. Castillo J. 11. D'Arrigo J. 18. De Santis J. 20. Fuentes A. 24. Guzman V. 25. Huaman M. 13. Lagos R. 14. Moyano A. 17. Neira C. 32. Saravia F. (G) 31. Vilchez Y. 30. Waterman C.	15. Amor E. 22. Benegas L. 19. Castellani G. 32. Cepeda L. 30. De Paul F. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 26. Moya M. 16. Opazo Lara O. 29. Paiva G. 28. Soto L. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Ramos J. ↓, Huaman M. ↑,
32', Pizarro D. 🟨,
34', Garces R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Barcos H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Bolados M. 🟨,
66', Pizarro D. 🟥,
71', Pizarro V. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
71', Bolados M. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
72', Vidal A. 🟨,
78', Pavez E. 🟨,
78', Zanelatto F. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Vidal A. ⚽, Zavala C. (A),
82', Carlos Palacios ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
83', Arregui A. ↓, Waterman C. ↑,
83', Zanelatto F. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
85', Garces R. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
86', Campos A. ↓, Saravia F. ↑,
88', Gil L. ↓, Amor E. ↑,
90', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
90+4', Vidal A. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.24	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Alianza Lima - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.24	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
12.05.24	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Colo-Colo - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
04.05.24	Cobresal - Colo-Colo	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	0:0
05.05.22	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1
13.04.22	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	2:1

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