What is the expert prediction for Colo-Colo vs Alianza Lima?

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Colo-Colo vs Alianza Lima Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 18, 2026)

Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Colo-Colo		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	5.82	3.56	1.62	Watch
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.19	3.08	3.13	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.13)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.76 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
32.5%

Draw
31.2%

Alianza Lima
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colo-Colo's form might have worsened.

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Paul F. (G) 28. Rojas J. 23. Vidal A. 26. Ulloa D. 13. Fernandez M. 8. Pavez E. (C) 5. Mendez V. 17. Riquelme C. 22. Aquino C. 7. Marchant F. 9. Correa J.	23. Viscarra G. (G) 17. Advincula L. 5. Zambrano C. (C) 6. Garces R. 13. Trauco M. 4. Chavez G. 15. Castillo J. 20. Velez J. 25. Gentile G. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero
Substitutes
25. Alarcon T. . Campos . Cuevas 24. Hernandez L. . Mendez J. 29. Moya M. . Romero M. 40. Suarez N. 2. Villagra J. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 15. Zavala C.	33. Antoni M. 28. Burlamaqui A. 19. Cantero A. 31. Carbajal C. . Duarte A. (G) 9. Girotti F. . Montenegro D. . Motta G. 18. Pena S. 35. Velasquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Garces R. ↓, Antoni M. ↑,
63', Velez J. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
63', Advincula L. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
68', Rojas J. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
68', Marchant F. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
68', Fernandez M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
68', Mendez V. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
69', Castillo E. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
70', Gentile G. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
70', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Correa J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Ramos L. ⚽,
79', Ramos L. 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Correa J. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Cantero A. ⚽,
87', Trauco M. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
90', Alarcon T. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Alianza Lima has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Colo-Colo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

Colo-Colo - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Serie Rio de la Plata
15.01.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Colo-Colo	0:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
07.12.25	Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Cobresal - Colo-Colo	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Unión Española - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Alianza Lima
Serie Rio de la Plata
14.01.26	Unión Santa Fe - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Independiente - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
06.12.25	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	3:4 penalties ✺
02.12.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1
23.04.24	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	0:0
05.05.22	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1
13.04.22	Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima	2:1

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