Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Lima		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.3	7.9	Watch
	1.38	4.59	10.18
	1.36	4.66	8.59	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.41	4.27	8.14	Watch
	1.37	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	4.32 ↓ (4.61)	8.33 ↓ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
67.1%

Draw
21.6%

Sport Boys
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

20.1%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

19.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Alianza Lima - Sport Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. (C) 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 31. Carbajal C. 5. Pavez E. 20. Velez J. 11. Cantero A. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero	22. Melian D. (G) 24. Mora O. 4. Alfani R. 55. Dulanto G. 18. Aranda S. 8. Da C. H. (C) 5. Illanes F. 11. Urruti L. 80. Torres J. 10. Alarcon J. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
55. Aquino P. 18. Burlamaqui A. 21. Cari P. 4. Chavez G. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 7. Gaibor F. 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 9. Ramos L.	35. Alvarado D. 14. Diaz R. 21. Huaman A. 13. Llontop M. 7. Lopez C. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 17. Saba E. 6. Solis L. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Guede P.	de la Pava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Urruti L. 🟨,
16', Nequecaur L. 🟨,
27', Pavez E. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Garces R. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alarcon J. ↓, Llontop M. ↑,
57', Cantero A. 🟨,
59', Cantero A. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
64', Torres J. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
71', Carbajal C. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
72', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
76', Mora O. ↓, Saba E. ↑,
84', Pavez E. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
84', Velez J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
84', Urruti L. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
85', Da C. H. ↓, Solis L. ↑,
85', Saba E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alianza Lima is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Knee Injury) Castillo J. (Injury) Pavez E. (Injury) Viscarra G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Sport Boys: Riojas H. (Injury) Urruti L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
14.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.26	Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.26	Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.26	2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.01.26	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
14.02.26	Sport Boys - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	ADT Tarma - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sport Boys - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Sport Boys - Everton de Viña	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
16.10.25	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:1
23.05.25	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	0:1
21.09.24	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	0:3
18.04.24	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:0
16.07.23	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	1:0
12.02.23	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	2:0
17.07.22	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:1

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