Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Alianza Panama		Veraguas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.89	3.53	3.88	Watch
	1.82	3.42	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (3.91)	3.41 ↓ (3.51)	3.8 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
49.4%

Draw
26.6%

Veraguas
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Panama's performance.

Veraguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veraguas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Panama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veraguas than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veraguas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alianza Panama - Veraguas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 28. Alvarado J. 17. Asprilla J. 5. Campos O. 77. Chiari G. 7. Guardia H. 31. Machado A. (C) 13. Mendoza A. 16. Mitre R. 3. Ortega Y. 8. Rangel G.	30. Araya B. (G) 7. Camargo M. 21. Ceballos E. 6. Emmons J. 16. Gondola J. 23. Lopez E. 3. Mancilla C. 9. Torres G. (C) 12. Torres L. 25. Villarreal L. 15. Zuniga N.
Substitutes
15. Galvez A. 43. Hidalgo J. 2. Landazuri F. 6. Marengo J. 30. Melgar K. (G) 52. Morelos C. 34. Palacio I. 40. Rodriguez C. 66. Rodriguez M. 19. Vargas D.	18. de Gracia K. 5. Figueroa J. 13. Gonzalez J. 28. Montenegro R. 10. Pinzon A. 14. Rivera C. 20. Rodriguez A. 11. Sagel J. 1. Toribio E. (G) 35. Wynter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rangel G. 🟨,
38', Campos O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rangel G. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
70', Mancilla C. ↓, de Gracia K. ↑,
77', Torres G. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
77', Zuniga N. ↓, Sagel J. ↑,
87', Guardia H. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
89', Camargo M. 🟨,
89', Machado A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.05.26	Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera	4:3 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Alianza Panama - Árabe Unido	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Tauro - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTTT
- Veraguas CD
Liga Panamena de Futbol
02.05.26	Veraguas - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Veraguas - Union Cocle	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportivo Universitario - Veraguas	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Herrera - Veraguas	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	San Francisco - Veraguas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
22.02.26	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	5:3
06.09.25	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	1:0
07.03.25	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	2:0
28.09.24	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	0:2
07.04.24	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	3:2
21.08.22	Veraguas - Alianza Panama	0:1
09.03.22	Alianza Panama - Veraguas	2:0

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