Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Rommel Fernandez (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Tauro		Alianza Panama

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.29	3.33	3.15
	2.02	3.43	3.53	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.08	3.43	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauro
44.1%

Draw
27.9%

Alianza Panama
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Alianza Panama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauro than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tauro - Alianza Panama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guerra J. (G) 2. Asprilla L. 6. Bernal K. 26. Cunningham S. 4. Diaz A. 18. Diaz S. 45. Molinar E. 21. Olivardia A. 5. Ramos Jaramillo H. 28. Sanchez J. 25. Vargas J. (C)	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 28. Alvarado J. 45. Campos O. 77. Chiari G. 7. Guardia H. 5. Landazuri F. 13. Mendoza A. 16. Mitre R. 8. Rangel G. 22. Rodriguez M. (C) 19. Vargas D.
Substitutes
15. Anderson Gomez N. M. 87. Cabeza M. 17. Cabrera W. 19. Cecena J. 8. Medina V. 20. Perez B. 7. Rodriguez J. 14. Rodriguez J. 1. Vargas J. (G) 99. Zuniga L.	17. Asprilla J. 15. Galvez A. 26. Garces J. 43. Hidalgo J. 31. Machado A. 6. Marengo J. 30. Melgar K. (G) 52. Morelos C. 3. Ortega Y. 40. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Olivardia A. ⚽,
26', Alvarado J. 🟨,
29', Sanchez J. 🟨,
34', Vargas J. ↓, Anderson Gomez N. M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Asprilla J. ↓, Marengo J. ↑,
46', Diaz A. 🟨,
54', Molinar E. ↓, Medina V. ↑,
55', Cunningham S. ↓, Perez B. ↑,
56', Rangel G. ↓, Mitre R. ↑,
61', Bernal K. ↓, Cabrera W. ↑,
61', Olivardia A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
72', Sanchez J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Alvarado J. ⚽,
85', Chiari G. 🟨,
86', Chiari G. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
86', Guardia H. ↓, Morelos C. ↑,
90', Rodriguez C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Tauro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.

Tauro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tauro won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauro won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Tauro - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauro FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
10.04.26	Tauro - Árabe Unido	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Tauro - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Tauro - Deportivo Universitario	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	San Francisco - Tauro	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Veraguas - Tauro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWT
- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
11.04.26	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	UMECIT - Alianza Panama	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Herrera - Alianza Panama	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Union Cocle - Alianza Panama	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alianza Panama - Independiente de la Chorrera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
18.01.26	Alianza Panama - Tauro	1:1
11.10.25	Alianza Panama - Tauro	2:1
20.07.25	Tauro - Alianza Panama	2:1
27.04.25	Alianza Panama - Tauro	1:0
27.01.25	Tauro - Alianza Panama	1:2
26.10.24	Alianza Panama - Tauro	0:1
09.08.24	Tauro - Alianza Panama	0:0

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