Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino


	Alianza San Miguel		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.35	9
	1.23	5.75	10.34
	1.25	5.78	10.53	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.2	5.45	11.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)	5.47 ↓ (5.52)	10.53 ↑ (10.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
74.6%

Draw
16.7%

Hércules
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.1%

16.8%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alianza San Miguel - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Henriquez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 2 - 0, Rivera N. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Posada C. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Mancia I. ⚽,
88', Aguirre M. 🟥,
90+3', 3 - 2, Orellana N. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hércules is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alianza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20:19	1	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
01.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Inter FA - Alianza San Miguel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLWL
- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
01.04.26	Hércules - Zacatecoluca	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Municipal Limeño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Hércules - Águila	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	CD FAS - Hércules	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
08.02.26	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	1:4
18.10.25	Alianza San Miguel - Hércules	0:1
16.08.25	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	2:5

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