Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Fortaleza CEIF		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.5	Watch
	1.98	3.05	4.15
	1.9	3.24	4.37	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.33
	1.95	3	4.49	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.25)	3.05 ↑ (2.9)	4.39 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
48.1%

Draw
30.6%

Alianza Valledupar
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 4. Marulanda J. 18. Balanta J. 6. Diaz Y. 13. Pernia M. 14. Pico L. 8. Navarro S. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 33. Arroyo A. 9. Herrera J. 24. Salas J.	12. Chaverra J. (G) 5. Franco P. 24. Banguero E. 23. Viveros J. 16. Rosales Y. 10. Fernandez W. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 15. Esparragoza C. 11. Aponza Cantonil S. A. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 29. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
11. Amaya A. 32. Barragan M. (G) 16. Cajares J. 15. Cuero S. 21. Ramiirez S. 3. Ramirez D. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 31. Vivas S. 29. Wilke T.	27. Londono Y. 28. Osorio J. 17. Pardo F. 4. Perez E. 30. Valoyes J. 14. Villegas C. 1. Wallens J. (G)
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Bodhert H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
17', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salas J. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
46', Marulanda J. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
65', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
70', Aponza Cantonil S. A. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
70', Pernia M. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
70', Balanta J. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
74', Pico L. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Rivas Torres R. D. ⚽, Cajares J. (A),
85', Perez Balcazar J. E. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
85', Esparragoza C. ↓, Valoyes J. ↑,
85', Lucumi C. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Fortaleza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
08.12.25	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza CEIF	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWL
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
13.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo La Equidad	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
27.07.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	2:2
26.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0
08.09.24	Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
28.02.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:2

Upcoming Matches