The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 62.1%
Draw 24.4%
Alianza Valledupar 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
26.3%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
25.5%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Independiente Santa Fe - Alianza Valledupar Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1 - Santa Fe (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 20. Velasquez Y. 7. Torres J. 8. Fernandez O. 17. Lovera M. 22. Mosquera E. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 23. Viveros J. 22. Figueroa J. 3. Moreno K. 33. Lasso J. 27. Londono Y. 7. Castillo J. 21. Cantillo F. 17. Pardo F. (C) 29. Lucumi C.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 37. Jhon Renteria 2. Juan Quintero 77. Obrian J. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 4. Puerta M. 16. Torres D.
24. Banguero E. 5. Franco P. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 28. Osorio J. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 13. Simancas A. (G)
Coaches
Repetto P.
Ayala C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽,
36', Torres J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mosquera E. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
46', Moreno K. ↓, Franco P. ↑,
59', Lovera M. 🟨,
63', Lovera M. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Londono Y. ⚽, Figueroa J. (A),
74', Londono Y. ↓, Perez Balcazar J. E. ↑,
76', Torres J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
76', Palacios H. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
86', Figueroa J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
86', Pardo F. ↓, Banguero E. ↑,
90', Velasquez Y. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
90+3', Banguero E. 🟨,
90+5', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Santa Fe is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Santa Fe
12
6
4
2
19:12
7
22
15
Alianza
13
3
3
7
14:26
-12
12
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Mosquera A. (G) 
Olivera E. 
Repetto P. 
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