Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)


	Alloa Athletic		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2	3.35	3.35
	2.06	3.66	3.27
	2	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	1.99	3.4	3.31	Watch
	2	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	3.34 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
45.5%

Draw
27.1%

Cove Rangers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

28%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.9%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-3%)

Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. McFarlane L. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. 6. Dewar C. 20. O'Donnell C. 7. Clarke A. 12. Scougall S. 8. Roberts K. 27. Stewart L. 9. Donnelly L. 14. Gentles J.	1. Mutch R. (G) 8. Yule B. 32. Parker L. 3. Doyle M. 7. Harrington R. 24. Fyvie F. 15. Darge A. 22. O'Donnell L. 18. Emslie A. 9. Megginson M. 16. Teasdale J.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 5. Graham A. 4. Hetherington S. 15. McKay D. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 11. Orsi K. 10. Rankin L. 18. Sammon C.	2. Bisland L. 26. Carroll L. 21. Demus B. (G) 20. Eguaibor D. 6. Eguaibor J. 14. Masson J. 17. McAllister R. 4. Strachan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Gentles J. ⚽, Clarke A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', Parker L. 🟨,
73', Clarke A. ↓, Hetherington S. ↑,
76', Darge A. ↓, Bisland L. ↑,
76', Teasdale J. ↓, Masson J. ↑,
76', Fyvie F. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
81', O'Donnell L. ↓, Eguaibor D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Emslie A. ⚽, Bisland L. (A),
86', 1 - 2, Megginson M. ⚽,
87', Foster O. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
87', Scougall S. ↓, Rankin L. ↑,
87', Megginson M. ↓, Eguaibor J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Donnelly L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Cove has had a series of away games.

Alloa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alloa won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Alloa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Alloa: 0.37% Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Alloa Athletic - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.78%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
24.01.26	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTTL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
24.01.26	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish League One
10.01.26	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:0 ✺
27.12.25	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.11.25	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	0:0
20.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:1
19.04.25	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	1:1
01.03.25	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:1
21.12.24	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	2:0
05.10.24	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	0:2
20.04.24	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	2:3

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