Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Almería		Getafe

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.75
	2.75	3.4	2.65
	2.69	3.3	2.91
	2.69	3.2	2.91
	2.6	3.25	2.7
	2.71	3.33	2.89	Watch
	2.64	3.4	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.57)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
36.4%

Draw
29.2%

Getafe
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28.2%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Getafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	63.2%	21.1%

Almería - Getafe Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Getafe will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 21. Chumi 22. Montes C. 24. Langa B. 5. Robertone L. (C) 6. Lopy D. 12. Leo Baptistao 8. Viera J. 10. Embarba A. 15. Lozano C.	13. Soria D. (G) 18. Carmona J. A. 2. Djene (C) 15. Alderete O. 16. Rico D. 24. Moriba I. 5. Milla L. 12. Greenwood M. 20. Maksimovic N. 9. Rodriguez O. 14. Latasa J.
Substitutes
19. Arribas S. 4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 3. Gonzalez E. 23. Kone I. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 29. Milovanovic M. 26. Pena M. 17. Pozo A. 38. Romero L.	37. Alcantara A. R. 4. Alvarez G. 3. Angileri F. 1. Daniel Fuzato (G) 36. Lopez D. 32. Martin J. 7. Mata J. 40. Medenica D. (G) 25. Santiago Y. 31. Tallal Y.
Coaches
Mel P.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Alderete O. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Moriba I. (A),
38', Montes C. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Lozano C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lopy D. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
46', Latasa J. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽,
50', Embarba A. 🟨,
55', Robertone L. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez O. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
60', Greenwood M. 🟨,
61', 1 - 3, Mata J. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
62', Robertone L. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
68', Moriba I. ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
70', Leo Baptistao ↓, Pena M. ↑,
80', Milla L. ↓, Alcantara A. R. ↑,
80', Carmona J. A. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
80', Montes C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
86', Martin J. 🟨,
86', Viera J. 🟨,
90+1', Viera J. 🟨,
90+2', Santiago Y. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Almería won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
21.04.24	Almería - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Real Sociedad - Almería	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Almería - Osasuna	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Las Palmas - Almería	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Almería - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTLWT
- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.04.24	Getafe - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Rayo Vallecano - Getafe	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Getafe - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Getafe - Girona	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Valencia - Getafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.11.23	Getafe - Almería	2:1
26.04.23	Getafe - Almería	1:2
09.11.22	Almería - Getafe	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.17	Getafe - Almería	4:0
06.01.17	Almería - Getafe	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.15	Almería - Getafe	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.15	Getafe - Almería	1:0

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