Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Almería		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.75	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.99	3.54	2.2	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.71	3.54	2.5
	2.75	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
34.6%

Draw
27.1%

Sevilla
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Almería - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 16. Radovanovic A. 3. Gonzalez E. 24. Langa B. 6. Lopy D. 8. Melero G. (C) 17. Pozo A. 10. Melamed N. 9. Suarez L. 19. Marezi	13. Nyland O. (G) 15. Montiel G. 22. Bade L. 23. Marcao 4. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 12. Lokonga A. S. 17. Niguez S. 11. Lukebakio D. 7. Romero I. 27. Idumbo S.
Substitutes
11. Arribas S. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 28. Fettal R. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 4. Kaiky 7. Lazaro 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 34. Quintanilla R.	18. Agoume L. 33. Arbol M. (G) 28. Bueno M. 2. Carmona J. A. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 35. Martinez R. 8. Ortiz P. 42. Pascual A. 3. Pedrosa A. 14. Peque 10. Suso
Coaches
Rubi	Garcia Pimienta F. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Romero I. ⚽, Idumbo S. (A),
17', Marezi 🟨,
37', Melamed N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Marezi ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
65', Bade L. 🟨,
66', Marezi ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
68', Idumbo S. ↓, Peque ↑,
77', Melamed N. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
77', Pozo A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
80', Salas K. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
80', Montiel G. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
88', Langa B. ↓, Kaiky ↑,
88', Melero G. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
90+2', Quintanilla R. 🟨,
90+3', Niguez S. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Suarez L. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.

Almería is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sevilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:21 (average 1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Almería - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
13.12.24	Almería - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Málaga - Almería	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Olot - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.03.24	Almería - Sevilla	2:2
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1
12.03.23	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
27.08.22	Almería - Sevilla	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.21	Almería - Sevilla	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.15	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
11.01.15	Almería - Sevilla	0:2

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