Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	13:30	DirecTV Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Chile	13:30	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	17:30	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Finland	18:30	Veikkaus TV
India	22:00	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	23:30	iNews, Vidio
Mexico	10:30	Sky Sport
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	17:30	VG+
Peru	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	16:30	Sport TV6
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:30	Shahid VIP
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	17:30	M+ LaLiga TV 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	17:30	Sport Bladet Play
Turkey	19:30	Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	18:30	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	13:30	DirecTV Sports
Usa	11:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	DirecTV Sports, Inter
International	16:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Almería		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.55
	2.75	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.99	3.54	2.2	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.71	3.54	2.5
	2.75	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.41)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
34.6%

Draw
27.1%

Sevilla
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Almería - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 16. Radovanovic A. 3. Gonzalez E. 24. Langa B. 6. Lopy D. 8. Melero G. (C) 17. Pozo A. 10. Melamed N. 9. Suarez L. 19. Marezi	13. Nyland O. (G) 15. Montiel G. 22. Bade L. 23. Marcao 4. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 12. Lokonga A. S. 17. Niguez S. 11. Lukebakio D. 7. Romero I. 27. Idumbo S.
Substitutes
11. Arribas S. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 28. Fettal R. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 4. Kaiky 7. Lazaro 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 34. Quintanilla R.	18. Agoume L. 33. Arbol M. (G) 28. Bueno M. 2. Carmona J. A. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 35. Martinez R. 8. Ortiz P. 42. Pascual A. 3. Pedrosa A. 14. Peque 10. Suso
Coaches
Rubi	Garcia Pimienta F. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Romero I. ⚽, Idumbo S. (A),
17', Marezi 🟨,
37', Melamed N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Marezi ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
65', Bade L. 🟨,
66', Marezi ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
68', Idumbo S. ↓, Peque ↑,
77', Melamed N. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
77', Pozo A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽,
80', Salas K. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
80', Montiel G. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
88', Langa B. ↓, Kaiky ↑,
88', Melero G. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
90+2', Quintanilla R. 🟨,
90+3', Niguez S. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Suarez L. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 1.

Almería is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sevilla will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:21 (average 1:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Almería - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
13.12.24	Almería - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Málaga - Almería	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Leonesa - Almería	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
22.12.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	4:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Olot - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.03.24	Almería - Sevilla	2:2
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1
12.03.23	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
27.08.22	Almería - Sevilla	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.21	Almería - Sevilla	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.15	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
11.01.15	Almería - Sevilla	0:2

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