What is the expert prediction for Sevilla vs Celta de Vigo?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Sevilla vs Celta de Vigo. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Sevilla vs Celta de Vigo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, January 12, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Zoom
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Sevilla		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.7
	2.68	2.98	2.92
	2.6	3.15	3.04	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.7	3.18	3.03	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.53)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)	2.9 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sevilla
36.3%

Draw
30.7%

Celta de Vigo
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	59.2%	23.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 13 - 17.6%). Celta will win (votes: 18 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 43 - 58.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.9% – 69.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Celta (votes: 7 - 17.5%). Tie (votes: 28 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Celta (1.99) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Celta (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Sevilla (1.44) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.5 - Sevilla (2.65) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +2 - Celta (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 56 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 9 - 16.1%). Celta (votes: 19 - 33.9%). Tie (votes: 28 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 4. Salas K. 16. Sanchez J. 18. Agoume L. 19. Mendy B. 36. Oso 20. Sow D. 7. Romero I. 14. Peque	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 15. Zaragoza B. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B.
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 32. Castrin 31. Flores A. (G) 24. Januzaj A. 8. Joan Jordan 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 10. Sanchez A. 29. Sierra M. 11. Vargas R.	4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 8. Beltran F. 5. Carreira S. 11. Cervi F. 18. Duran P. 12. Fernandez M. 29. Lago Y. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Moriba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
58', Aspas I. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
59', Romero I. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
59', Peque ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
61', Romero I. 🟨,
67', Vargas R. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
67', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
67', Zaragoza B. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
75', Sanchez J. 🟨,
82', Salas K. ↓, Nianzou T. ↑,
83', Sanchez J. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
84', Giraldez C. 🟨,
86', Mendy B. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Alonso M. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Mingueza O. 🟨,
90+1', Mingueza O. ↓, Carreira S. ↑,
90+3', Alvarez H. 🟨,

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Recent form of Sevilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (International duty) Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Ejuke C. (International duty) Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Red Card) Suazo G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Dominguez C. (Groin Injury) Jutgla F. (Inactive) Ristic M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Celta Vigo	38	14	12	12	53:48	5	54
13	Sevilla	38	12	7	19	46:60	-14	43

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Celta de Vigo	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.05.25	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	3:2
14.12.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:0
17.03.24	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	1:2
04.11.23	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1
07.04.23	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	2:2
30.12.22	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1
22.01.22	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Córdoba - Sevilla	✺

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Sevilla - Celta de Vigo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide