Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)


	Almirante Brown		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.65	4	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.6
	2.2	2.72	3.75	Watch
	2.27	2.79	4.13
	2.22	2.73	4.04	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.7
	2.16	2.61	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	2.67 ↓ (2.84)	3.88 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
41.6%

Draw
34.6%

Chaco For Ever
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

32.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

32.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Chaco For Ever has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chaco For Ever (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaco For Ever (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 2. Levi M. 3. Fernandez R. 7. Abreliano M. 8. Velazquez J. 5. Jara L. 11. Almada T. 9. Martinez E. 10. Quignon F.	1. Caprio N. (G) 4. Luque A. 2. Valdez D. 6. Silvera M. 3. Pruzzo L. 8. Valenzuela S. 5. Nievas B. 11. Ojeda A. 7. Enriquez I. 9. Pacheco E. 10. Marinucci L.
Substitutes
13. Alegre Rojas G. 15. Altamirano G. 19. Bazan N. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 17. Moreyra G. 18. Vera S. 14. Villoldo T. 20. Zarate T.	20. Alonso A. 12. Canuto G. (G) 16. Carrizo J. 19. Diaz Chaves M. 14. Garay R. 15. Garcia B. 17. Lioi A. 18. Melgarejo G. 13. Zules Caicedo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Pruzzo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Valdez D. 🟨,
59', Martinez E. ↓, Vera S. ↑,
59', Quignon F. ↓, Altamirano G. ↑,
59', Velazquez J. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
65', Ojeda A. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
69', Abreliano M. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
81', Enriquez I. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
81', Valenzuela S. ↓, Melgarejo G. ↑,
81', Marinucci L. ↓, Carrizo J. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Vera S. ⚽, Cardozo E. (A),
86', Nievas B. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
90', Bazan N. 🟨,
90', Almada T. ↓, Villoldo T. ↑,
90+4', Silvera M. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Almirante Brown could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.84%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Chaco For Ever - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Almirante Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Chaco For Ever - Mitre	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaco For Ever - All Boys	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Los Andes - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.25	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	2:1
23.03.25	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	0:0
29.09.24	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	3:0
11.05.24	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	0:0
27.03.22	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	0:0

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