Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.63	3.3	5.75
	1.56	3.45	6.8	Watch
	1.53	3.56	7.98
	1.59	3.32	7.31	Watch
	1.55	3.3	7
	1.61	3.38	6.68	Watch
	1.56	3.45	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	6.98 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
59.3%

Draw
27.3%

Almirante Brown
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

28.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia Jujuy's performance.

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia Jujuy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Perales J.	1. Martinez R. (G) 14. Cardozo E. 4. Acuna M. 2. Levi M. 3. Villoldo T. 7. Almada T. 5. Velazquez J. 8. Vazquez J. 11. Belloso M. 6. Gonzalez R. 10. Vera S.
Coaches
Modolo M.	Szeszurak G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Almada T. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
60', Soria H. ↓, Trasante J. ↑,
60', Camacho S. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
60', Gonzalez R. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Menendez C. ⚽,
73', Dematei N. 🟨,
77', Belloso M. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
77', Vazquez J. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
77', Villoldo T. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
79', Gauna S. 🟨,
85', Cosaro G. 🟨,
86', Quintana A. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
86', Molina F. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
89', Maidana F. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
90+1', Cordoba J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Jujuy won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Gimnasia Jujuy is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gimnasia Jujuy won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia Jujuy won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Chaco For Ever - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Mitre	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Colón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.03.25	San Martín de San Juan - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLW
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Mitre - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Almirante Brown - Colón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	3:0
24.03.14	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:3
21.09.13	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	3:0
24.03.13	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1
23.09.12	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0
26.05.12	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1

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