The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 24.5%
Draw 30.7%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
31.3%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
31.3%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almirante Brown's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almirante Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Mendoza: 35.9% – 97.5%.
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Acuna M. 2. Levi M. 6. Gonzalez R. 3. Villoldo T. 5. Velazquez J. 8. Vazquez J. 7. Almada T. 10. Vera S. 11. Belloso M. 9. Bazan N.
1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Saavedra F. 5. Antonio I. 8. Munoz M. 7. Andrada B. 10. Puch J. 11. Lencioni F. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
17. Arango M. 14. Cardozo E. 16. Cenci B. 12. Galvan B. (G) 20. Garcia D. 15. Gauna S. 18. Ibanez J. 13. Varela C. 19. Villalba S.
15. Antonini F. 16. Bustos L. 13. Calderon E. 17. Esposito G. 20. Galeano M. 14. Recalde M. 12. San Juan F. (G) 19. Servetto N. 18. Torres F.
Coaches
Nardozza F.
Medran E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Levi M. 🟨,
24', Villoldo T. 🟨,
31', Velazquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Vazquez J. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
56', Bazan N. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
62', Andrada B. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
62', Puch J. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
63', Munoz M. 🟨,
70', Gonzalez R. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
78', Lencioni F. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
78', Antonio I. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
78', Levi M. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
80', Vera S. ↓, Ibanez J. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Ibanez J. ⚽,
83', Nadalin F. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
84', Belloso M. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 1, Gonzales ⚽,
90+8', Gonzales 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0.
Almirante Brown is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gimnasia Mendoza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Almirante Brown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Gimnasia Mendoza will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.7:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
Argentina
Watch
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Martinez R. (G) 
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