Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Coimbrões

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.75
	1.41	3.95	7.4
	1.53	3.61	6.7
	1.41	3.95	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	3.85 ↑ (3.75)	7.06 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
63.3%

Draw
23.7%

Coimbrões
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

23.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Coimbrões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coimbrões than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Alpendorada - Coimbrões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Fabio Rodrigo ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Pepe ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alpendorada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coimbrões is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alpendorada is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alpendorada - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	União Lamas - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLTWT
- Coimbrões
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Coimbrões - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Camacha - Coimbrões	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Coimbrões - Régua	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Leça - Coimbrões	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Coimbrões - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.11.24	Coimbrões - Alpendorada	1:0

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