Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)


	Altai Semey		Taraz

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.85	5.9
	1.18	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.37	4.7	6.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	3.52 ↓ (4.7)	4.44 ↓ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
60%

Draw
22.3%

Taraz
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

18.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altai Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 11. Dadaev I. 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 88. Ivanov S. 7. Kan G. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 17. Kukeev Z. 10. Omarbek A. 77. Popov S. 5. Saylybaev O. 46. Teterin A.	1. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 10. Baybosynov N. 2. Erkinbek A. 31. Kemelbek S. 5. Keulimzhay E. 9. Khaytmuratov U. 17. Mukanbetzhanov A. 4. Nuraly M. 12. Umirzakov Z. 7. Zhambyl M. 8. Zhumat M.
Substitutes
47. Atykhanov R. 37. Bragin R. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 20. Masudov S. 52. Masudov Y. 82. Mukhit A. 15. Nurtaev O. 6. Redzhepov T. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 9. Seytkaliev A. 24. Sletov B.	30. Amirkhanov M. 20. Askerbek N. 23. Erden A. 6. Lesbek D. 74. Mergenbaev M. (G) 82. Omey A. 77. Suley A. 21. Toybekov E. 22. Zhaksymbetov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Baybosynov N. 🟨,
8', Dadaev I. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Dadaev I. ⚽, Kan G. (A),
20', Kemelbek S. 🟨,
42', Khaytmuratov U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhumat M. ↓, Amirkhanov M. ↑,
57', Khaytmuratov U. 🟥,
61', Omarbek A. ↓, Khizhnichenko S. ↑,
61', Popov S. ↓, Mukhit A. ↑,
61', Teterin A. ↓, Masudov S. ↑,
62', Dadaev I. 🟥,
63', Baybosynov N. ↓, Toybekov E. ↑,
64', Kemelbek S. ↓, Askerbek N. ↑,
64', Mukanbetzhanov A. ↓, Suley A. ↑,
72', Zhambyl M. 🟨,
73', Kan G. ↓, Redzhepov T. ↑,
77', Saylybaev O. 🟨,
80', 2 - 0, Redzhepov T. ⚽,
86', Khizhnichenko S. 🟨,
90+2', Suley A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Altai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Altai is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Altai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Altai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh First League
17.07.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Altai Semey	1:3 ✺
11.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Altai Semey - AKAS	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	SD Family - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLW
- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
18.07.25	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	AKAS - Taraz	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	4:0 ✺
26.06.25	Kairat 2 - Taraz	3:1 ✺
20.06.25	Taraz - Aktobe 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
15.08.24	Altai Semey - Taraz	2:1
Kazakh Cup
26.03.18	Altai Semey - Taraz	1:2

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