Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Vostok Stadium (Oskemen)

Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Altai Semey		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.20	2.10
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.5	3.5	2.14
	3.2	3.61	2.01	Watch
	3.45	2.9	2.11
	3.15	3.47	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.48)	3.27 ↓ (3.93)	2.11 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
28.3%

Draw
28.2%

Tobol Kostanay
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

23.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

22.8%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Altai Semey - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kucher D. (G) 98. Podstrelov D. 88. Ivanov S. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 9. Gorshunov E. 21. Jambor N. 17. Kukeev Z. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 29. Lobzhanidze E.	44. Ustimenko D. (G) 4. Cavnic N. 22. Marochkin A. 5. Ndiaye P. 21. Zhagorov N. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 6. Myakish M. 25. Borsic A. 30. Guerra L. 18. Milovanovic U. 10. Chesnokov I.
Substitutes
35. Aliakbar A. (G) 37. Bragin R. 45. Dodev D. 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 19. Gultyaev Z. 7. Kan G. 70. Mitrofanov D. 3. Odeoyibo S. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O.	3. Asrankulov R. 38. Bakitzhanov A. 1. Busurmanov S. (G) 13. Cisse A. 88. Kalmyrza M. 11. Marat D. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 72. Senhadji R. 14. Talal A. 57. Zinadin A. 17. Zuev A.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Romashchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marochkin A. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Lobzhanidze E. ⚽, Schmidt D. (A),
64', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
64', Gorshunov E. ↓, Dzhanuzakov A. ↑,
66', Tagybergen A. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
66', Chesnokov I. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
67', Borsic A. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
76', Lobzhanidze E. ↓, Dodev D. ↑,
77', Dzhanuzakov A. 🟨,
80', Popov S. 🟨,
84', Kukeev Z. ↓, Saylybaev O. ↑,
84', Cavnic N. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
89', Zhagorov N. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 13).

Altai has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tobol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tobol might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tobol	26	10	4	12	33:35	-2	34
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
28.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Altai Semey - Zhetysu	3:3 ✺
14.06.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Altai Semey - Astana	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL
- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
28.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey	3:1

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