Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Gorda D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Tobol Kostanay		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.00
	1.60	3.50	4.50	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.38
	1.51	4.2	5.32	Watch
	1.51	3.90	5.30
	1.58	4.01	5.58
	1.49	3.80	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.87)	3.87 ↑ (3.47)	5.18 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
59%

Draw
23.4%

Altai Semey
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altai Semey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tobol Kostanay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altai Semey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay - Altai Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ustimenko D. (G) 21. Zhagorov N. 72. Senhadji R. 4. Cavnic N. 25. Borsic A. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 13. Cisse A. 30. Guerra L. 14. Talal A. 17. Zuev A. 18. Milovanovic U.	13. Konovalov I. (G) 98. Podstrelov D. 4. Micevic N. 88. Ivanov S. 3. Odeoyibo S. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 21. Jambor N. 9. Gorshunov E. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 77. Popov S.
Substitutes
3. Asrankulov R. 1. Busurmanov S. (G) 10. Galym B. 88. Kalmyrza M. 11. Marat D. 22. Marochkin A. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 6. Myakish M. 57. Zinadin A.	37. Bragin R. 11. Dadaev I. 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 17. Kukeev Z. 29. Lobzhanidze E. 16. Masudov Y. 70. Mitrofanov D. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 5. Saylybaev O. 46. Teterin A.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.	Masudov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Micevic N. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Tagybergen A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Jambor N. ⚽,
33', Milovanovic U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Lobzhanidze E. ↑,
60', Popov S. ↓, Dadaev I. ↑,
62', Cisse A. ↓, Myakish M. ↑,
65', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
65', Gorshunov E. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
67', Zuev A. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
71', Dadaev I. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Guerra L. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Talal A. ⚽, Guerra L. (A),
83', Schmidt D. 🟨,
88', Borsic A. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
88', Milovanovic U. ↓, Kalmyrza M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

Tobol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Altai has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Altai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tobol is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tobol	26	10	4	12	33:35	-2	34
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- Altai Semey
Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Altai Semey - Zhetysu	3:3 ✺
14.06.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Altai Semey - Astana	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLTLW

Upcoming Matches