The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Okzhetpes 34.7%
Draw 28.8%
Tobol Kostanay 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
23.3%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
22.5%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okzhetpes's form might have worsened.
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+21.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Okzhetpes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Tobol will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 9. Borodin D. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 47. Vasiljev V. 8. Buribaev N. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 14. Mukanov S.
44. Ustimenko D. (G) 21. Zhagorov N. 4. Cavnic N. 22. Marochkin A. 5. Ndiaye P. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 6. Myakish M. 15. Vukcevic M. 14. Talal A. 17. Zuev A. 18. Milovanovic U.
Substitutes
91. Abdumannonov B. 67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 10. Nurgaliyev E. 90. Sadovski U. (. 16. Shamshi B. 17. Umarov S. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.
3. Asrankulov R. 25. Borsic A. 1. Busurmanov S. (G) 13. Cisse A. 88. Kalmyrza M. 11. Marat D. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 72. Senhadji R. 57. Zinadin A.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.
Romashchenko M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Vukcevic M. ⚽,
11', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
38', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zuev A. ↓, Borsic A. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Mukhametkhanov Z. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
60', Vukcevic M. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
63', Mukanov S. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Mukhametkhanov Z. ⚽,
69', Tagybergen A. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
76', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
77', Talal A. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
80', 🟨,
80', Lototskyi B. 🟨,
88', Sovpel V. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 0.
Okzhetpes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tobol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).