The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tobol Kostanay 51.4%
Draw 27%
Kyzylzhar 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
25.3%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
24.6%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.
Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyzylzhar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tobol Kostanay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kyzylzhar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Ustimenko D. (G) 21. Zhagorov N. 72. Senhadji R. 4. Cavnic N. 5. Ndiaye P. 8. Tagybergen A. (C) 6. Myakish M. 14. Talal A. 17. Zuev A. 18. Milovanovic U. 7. Zhumashev Z.
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 23. Piscevic N. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 22. Kozlenko A. 27. Gubarev N. 79. Valgushev G. 19. Krajisnik D. 8. Makarenko E. 88. Pertsukh Y. 99. Beugre E.
Substitutes
3. Asrankulov R. 38. Bakitzhanov A. 1. Busurmanov S. (G) 30. Guerra L. 11. Marat D. 22. Marochkin A. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 29. Usenov D. 15. Vukcevic M. 19. Zhumat D.
13. Bahoken S. 10. Bjartalid J. 11. Cheredinov A. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 21. Kurbanov T. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G) 5. Slambekov D.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.
Curcic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Valgushev G. 🟨,
41', Piscevic N. 🟨,
45+1', Makarenko E. 🟨,
45+2', Cavnic N. 🟨,
45+3', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Guerra L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gubarev N. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
46', Valgushev G. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
49', Celeadnic D. ↓, Petrov V. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Milovanovic U. ⚽, Tagybergen A. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Zuev A. ⚽, Ndiaye P. (A),
62', Sokolenko A. ↓, Bahoken S. ↑,
67', Kozlenko A. 🟨,
75', Guerra L. 🟨,
77', Makarenko E. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
86', Talal A. ↓, Zhumat D. ↑,
86', Zhagorov N. ↓, Vukcevic M. ↑,
86', Ndiaye P. ↓, Asrankulov R. ↑,
90+3', Tagybergen A. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Tobol is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:8. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
Kazakhstan
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Ustimenko D. (G) 
Senhadji R. 
Cavnic N. 
Myakish M. 
Talal A. 
Milovanovic U. 
Celeadnic D. (G) 
Kozlenko A. 
Beugre E. 
Guerra L. 
Bahoken S. 
Bjartalid J. 
