Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 30

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Tonino D'Angelo (Altamura) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Altamura		Foggia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	2.38	2.82	3.15	Watch
	2.56	2.92	3.02
	2.34	2.74	3.41	Watch
	2.45	2.63	2.88
	2.54	2.9	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.96)	2.87 ↓ (3.34)	3.13 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altamura
38.7%

Draw
32%

Foggia
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altamura's form might have worsened.

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Altamura - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Altamura will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altamura: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altamura (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Foggia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Alastra F. (G) 13. Poli F. 5. Zazza M. 18. Silletti E. 37. Falasca M. 4. Dipinto N. 30. Nazzaro M. 16. Grande M. 21. Mogentale T. 7. Rosafio M. 10. Curcio A.	27. Borbei A. (G) 98. Rizzo F. 4. Biasiol E. 23. Brosco R. 13. Giron M. 5. Castorri G. 8. Garofalo V. 32. Romeo F. 99. D'Amico F. 21. Liguori M. 81. Tommasini C.
Substitutes
11. Agostinelli V. 40. Dimola R. 6. Doumbia C. B. 19. Esposito M. 73. Fantoni N. 15. Florio M. 20. Mbaye I. 28. Millico V. 38. Nicolao G. 14. Simone G. 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)	9. Bevilacqua M. 3. Dimarco C. 11. Eyango S. 22. Magro F. (G) 44. Menegazzo L. 6. Minelli A. 10. Nocerino L. 47. Pazienza O. 1. Perucchini F. (G) 25. Staver C. 24. Valietti F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Brosco R. ↓, Minelli A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', D'Amico F. 🟨,
68', Rosafio M. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
68', Poli F. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Curcio A. ⚽,
77', D'Amico F. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
84', Rizzo F. ↓, Valietti F. ↑,
84', Castorri G. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
89', Falasca M. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Altamura has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Foggia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Altamura will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Altamura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Foggia	11	4	2	5	11:13	-2	14
15	Altamura	11	3	3	5	9:16	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.26	Picerno - Altamura	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Altamura - Benevento	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Potenza - Altamura	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Altamura - Latina	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Altamura - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLLWW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.26	Foggia - Casarano	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Crotone - Foggia	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Foggia - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Foggia - Picerno	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Casertana - Foggia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.25	Foggia - Altamura	0:1
06.01.25	Foggia - Altamura	0:2
02.09.24	Altamura - Foggia	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.11.19	Foggia - Altamura	1:0

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