The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altamura 13.3%
Draw 24.2%
Benevento 62.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.9%
25.2%
59.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
24.9%
60.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-2%)
Altamura - Benevento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Alastra F. (G) 20. Mbaye I. 5. Zazza M. 18. Silletti E. 21. Mogentale T. 4. Dipinto N. 30. Nazzaro M. 6. Doumbia C. B. 16. Grande M. 70. Peschetola L. 10. Curcio A.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 33. Caldirola L. 20. Ceresoli A. 77. Pierozzi E. 8. Maita M. 4. Prisco A. 10. Manconi J. 11. Lamesta D. 9. Salvemini F. 93. Tumminello M.
Substitutes
40. Dimola R. 19. Esposito M. 73. Fantoni N. 15. Florio M. 38. Nicolao G. 13. Poli F. 14. Simone G. 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)
19. Borghini D. 7. Carfora L. 13. Celia R. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 56. Kouan C. 32. Mignani G. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 23. Saio P. 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Grande M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Prisco A. ⚽,
59', Peschetola L. ↓, Suazo D. ↑,
60', Scognamillo S. 🟨,
64', Manconi J. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
64', Ceresoli A. ↓, Romano R. ↑,
66', Salvemini F. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Mbaye I. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Tumminello M. ⚽,
87', Mbaye I. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
90+1', Lamesta D. ↓, Saio P. ↑,
90+1', Tumminello M. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Altamura is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Benevento is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Altamura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Benevento is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Altamura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.