Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio


	Foggia		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.77
	2.75	3.38	2.34	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3.33	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.71)	3.29 ↓ (3.46)	2.56 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
36.1%

Draw
27.9%

Casarano
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

26.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Foggia - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 25. Staver C. 98. Rizzo F. 23. Brosco R. (C) 13. Giron M. 8. Garofalo V. 47. Pazienza O. 5. Castorri G. 21. Liguori M. 81. Tommasini C. 99. D'Amico F.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 33. Mercadante M. 25. Bachini M. 5. Celiento D. 29. Gyamfi B. 23. Logoluso G. 11. Ferrara V. 27. Versienti L. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 35. Cerbone S.
Substitutes
9. Bevilacqua M. 4. Biasiol E. 27. Borbei A. (G) 3. Dimarco C. 22. Magro F. (G) 44. Menegazzo L. 6. Minelli A. 10. Nocerino L. 24. Valietti F.	26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 98. Ferilli M. (G) 24. Gega E. 67. Jacopo L. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, D'Amico F. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Versienti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Liguori M. ↓, Valietti F. ↑,
64', Pazienza O. ↓, Menegazzo L. ↑,
77', Cerbone S. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
79', D'Amico F. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
80', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
81', Versienti L. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
87', Gega E. 🟨,
89', Giron M. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
89', Tommasini C. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Cajazzo I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Foggia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Casarano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Foggia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Casarano will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Foggia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Foggia	11	4	2	5	11:13	-2	14
14	Casarano	11	4	2	5	13:18	-5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Foggia - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Crotone - Foggia	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Foggia - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Foggia - Picerno	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Casertana - Foggia	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.02.26	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.10.25	Casarano - Foggia	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.20	Casarano - Foggia	1:0
20.10.19	Foggia - Casarano	1:1

Foggia - Casarano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide