Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Casertana		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.05	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.12	6.84
	1.45	4.14	6.45	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.45	3.84	6.62	Watch
	1.45	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)	3.96 ↑ (3.93)	6.57 ↑ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casertana
62.9%

Draw
23.1%

Foggia
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Casertana - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 17. Viscardi A. 4. Kontek I. 94. Liotti D. 8. Proia F. 16. Pezzella S. 21. Girelli S. 9. Kallon Y. 20. Bentivegna A. 5. Llano Massa M. T.	1. Perucchini F. (G) 8. Garofalo V. 6. Minelli A. 98. Rizzo F. 3. Dimarco C. 32. Romeo F. 16. Petermann D. 5. Castorri G. 21. Liguori M. 81. Tommasini C. 7. Cangiano G.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)	9. Bevilacqua M. 27. Borbei A. (G) 13. Giron M. 22. Magro F. (G) 4. Menegazzo L. 10. Nocerino L. 18. Oliva M. 47. Pazienza O. 25. Staver C. 24. Valietti F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Oukhadda S. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Cangiano G. ⚽,
45+10', Pezzella S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Liguori M. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
50', Pezzella S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Nocerino L. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Kallon Y. ⚽,
68', Castorri G. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
69', Tommasini C. ↓, Menegazzo L. ↑,
73', Girelli S. ↓, Arzillo V. ↑,
78', Leone K. 🟨,
82', Bentivegna A. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
88', Dimarco C. ↓, Giron M. ↑,
88', Romeo F. ↓, Oliva M. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Casertana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casertana - Benevento	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Altamura - Casertana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Latina - Foggia	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Foggia - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Foggia - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Foggia - Casertana	1:1
29.03.25	Casertana - Foggia	4:0
15.11.24	Foggia - Casertana	0:0
05.04.24	Foggia - Casertana	0:2
04.12.23	Casertana - Foggia	2:1
30.01.21	Foggia - Casertana	1:0
04.11.20	Casertana - Foggia	0:2

Upcoming Matches