Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Tonino D'Angelo (Altamura)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Altamura		Picerno

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.90	2.45
	2.85	2.85	2.45	Watch
	2.94	3.15	2.63
	2.87	2.92	2.53	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.6
	2.81	3.12	2.55	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.14)	2.53 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altamura
32.4%

Draw
31.2%

Picerno
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altamura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altamura - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 5. Zazza M. 31. Pirrello R. 6. Pacia F. 21. Mogentale T. 4. Dipinto N. (C) 30. Nazzaro M. 16. Grande M. 37. Falasca M. 7. Rosafio M. 9. Malcore G.	33. Marcone R. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 4. Bellodi G. 29. Del Fabro D. 23. Rillo F. 16. Bianchi S. 44. Franco D. 8. Virgilio P. 17. Nocerino L. 90. Abreu L. (C) 99. Pugliese S.
Substitutes
14. Bocic M. 77. Calusic M. 8. Crimi M. 10. Curcio A. 99. De Gennaro A. (G) 1. Di Bartolo F. (G) 27. Dimola R. 19. Esposito M. 2. Gagliardi L. 20. Gudelevicius E. 3. Ovalle Santos A. 11. Simone G. 28. Tudor R.	72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 7. Kanoute M. 10. Maiorino P. 21. Maselli S. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 19. Pistolesi F. 92. Scravaglieri M. 15. Tolovan R.
Coaches
Memushaj L.	De Luca C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gemignani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Pugliese S. ⚽,
57', Falasca M. ↓, Simone G. ↑,
67', Pacia F. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Rosafio M. ⚽, Dipinto N. (A),
78', Nocerino L. ↓, Scravaglieri M. ↑,
82', Rillo F. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
82', Franco D. ↓, Maselli S. ↑,
84', Nazzaro M. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
85', Grande M. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Malcore G. ⚽, Rosafio M. (A),
90+1', Pugliese S. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
90+1', Bianchi S. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
90+3', Coppola G. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Serie C ~ Play Out and 6th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Altamura (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Picerno has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Altamura could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Altamura has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Altamura against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12
16	Altamura	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Casertana - Altamura	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Altamura - Bari	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Altamura - Savoia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Inter U23 - Altamura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Scafatese - Picerno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
28.02.26	Picerno - Altamura	0:0
19.10.25	Altamura - Picerno	3:1
05.04.25	Altamura - Picerno	1:2
22.11.24	Picerno - Altamura	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Picerno - Altamura	1:3 ET
Italian Serie D - Group H
25.04.21	Altamura - Picerno	1:2
11.10.20	Picerno - Altamura	1:2

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