Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Picerno		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.87	2.15
	3.20	2.85	2.12	Watch
	3.71	3.07	2.19
	3.14	2.96	2.32	Watch
	3.55	3.00	2.13
	3.36	3.10	2.23	Watch
	3.35	2.95	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	2.19 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
27.2%

Draw
30.9%

Catania
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.6%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Picerno - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Catania will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Picerno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Picerno (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Picerno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 26. Bassoli A. 29. Del Fabro D. 19. Pistolesi F. 44. Franco D. 21. Maselli S. (C) 8. Virgilio P. 7. Kanoute M. 90. Abreu L. 99. Pugliese S.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 5. Perrotta M. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Quaini A. 4. Vallocchia A. 7. Bruzzaniti G. 18. Cavuoti N. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 99. Russo F.
Substitutes
16. Bianchi S. 72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 30. Gemignani A. 10. Maiorino P. 17. Nocerino L. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 23. Rillo F. 92. Scravaglieri M. 15. Tolovan R.	6. Allegretto A. 8. Caligara F. 76. Cariello G. 70. Catania N. 9. Coda M. 30. Corbari A. 20. Donnarumma D. 94. Insigne R. 21. Liguori M. 23. Lunetta G. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 25. Torre C.
Coaches
De Luca C.	Longo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
21', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Ierardi M. ⚽, Quaini A. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Cavuoti N. ⚽,
40', Bassoli A. 🟨,
44', Bassoli A. ↓, Bianchi S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pistolesi F. ↓, Rillo F. ↑,
57', 0 - 4, Cicerelli E. ⚽, Bruzzaniti G. (A),
60', Di Gennaro M. ↓, Allegretto A. ↑,
60', Maselli S. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
66', Vallocchia A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
66', Cavuoti N. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
75', 1 - 4, Pugliese S. ⚽,
76', Russo F. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
76', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
78', Kanoute M. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
83', Masciangelo E. 🟥,
88', 2 - 4, Abreu L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 2.

In recent matches, Picerno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Catania has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Catania has had a series of home games.

Catania could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Picerno won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
8	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
28.08.26	Scafatese - Picerno	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Picerno - Savoia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
12.09.26	Catania - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Catania - Savoia	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Monopoli - Catania	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Catania - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.04.26	Catania - Picerno	1:2
29.11.25	Picerno - Catania	0:1
19.01.25	Picerno - Catania	1:1
14.09.24	Catania - Picerno	0:0
06.02.24	Picerno - Catania	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.11.23	Catania - Picerno	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.23	Catania - Picerno	2:0

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