The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altay 30.9%
Draw 24.4%
Kasımpaşa 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
24.4%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
24.9%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.6%
13.6%
72.7%
Altay - Kasımpaşa Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 54.1% – 91.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Altay is Relegated to 1. Lig
Altay has the most likely position - 18 (100%), has project points - 34, has currently - 34, was already of relegated.
Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 10 (50.63%), has project points - 53, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality35, very small importance0, small match rating17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Altay is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Kasımpaşa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kasımpaşa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Altay: Kadah D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Aytac S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Serbest T.
(Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Altay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.