Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Altona Magic		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.8	3.5
	1.86	3.75	3.4
	1.84	4.01	3.83
	1.88	3.94	3.57	Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.9
	1.8	3.78	3.58
	1.91	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.25)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3.58 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
50.2%

Draw
24.1%

Melbourne Victory Youth
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

23.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altona Magic's performance.

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altona Magic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altona Magic - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altona Magic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Altona Magic (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altona Magic (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Kawaguchi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 9)

Altona Magic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Victory Youth is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Victory Youth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of home games.

Altona Magic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
10.05.25	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	4:0 ✺
02.05.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic	3:3 ✺
25.04.25	Altona Magic - Oakleigh Cannons	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Avondale - Altona Magic	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLT
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
09.05.25	Dandenong City - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:1 ✺
05.05.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder	3:4 ✺
14.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - St Albans Dinamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
10.02.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Altona Magic	1:1

Altona Magic - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide