Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Melbourne Victory Youth		Dandenong Thunder

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.57
	3.6	4	1.76
	3.58	4.18	1.82
	3.67	4.2	1.8	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.55
	4.85	4.33	1.51
	3.6	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	4.16 ↑ (4)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory Youth
22.8%

Draw
22.2%

Dandenong Thunder
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.3%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dandenong Thunder (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Kolic L. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Wall P. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Clark D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 2 - 2, Taylor K. ⚽,
71', 3 - 2, Lazarevski D. ⚽,
84', 3 - 3, Dekker W. ⚽,
88', 3 - 4, Uchida Y. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Victory Youth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dandenong Thunder is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
14.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - St Albans Dinamo	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Melbourne Knights - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TWLWW
- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong Thunder	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:1 ✺
28.03.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWLWW

Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide