Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 13

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Dandenong City		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.33	4.33
	1.57	4.4	4.2
	1.59	4.74	4.68
	1.59	4.66	4.52	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.2
	1.57	4.35	4.3
	1.57	4.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.15)	4.44 ↑ (4.21)	4.35 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
58.1%

Draw
20.7%

Melbourne Victory Youth
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

21.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

20.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong City's performance.

Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dandenong City - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Wall P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Mihailidis J. 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, Plant B. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Plant B. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Cesnik V. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

Dandenong City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Victory Youth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dandenong City is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
04.05.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong City	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Dandenong City - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:2 ✺
11.04.25	Oakleigh Cannons - Dandenong City	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	Dandenong City - Avondale	0:3 ✺
31.03.25	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian NPL Victoria
05.05.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Hume City	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Dandenong Thunder	3:4 ✺
14.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - St Albans Dinamo	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWL

Dandenong City - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide