Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 24

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Altona Magic		Moreland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.8	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.9	4.1	3.56
	1.77	4.14	3.86	Watch
	1.75	3.8	3.6
	1.76	3.9	3.67	Watch
	1.77	3.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
51.1%

Draw
23.4%

Moreland City
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

23.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

17.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altona Magic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altona Magic - Moreland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Saresh R. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Fabrizio D. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Juach B. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Duzel D. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Ukuno A. ⚽,
73', 4 - 2, ⚽,
80', 5 - 2, Juach B. ⚽,
83', 6 - 2, Juach B. ⚽,
90+1', 6 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
19.07.24	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	St Albans Dinamo - Altona Magic	3:2 ✺
06.07.24	Altona Magic - Avondale	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Altona Magic - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:0 ✺
21.06.24	South Melbourne - Altona Magic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLWWL
- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.07.24	Moreland City - Heidelberg United	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Manningham United - Moreland City	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Moreland City - Hume City	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Dandenong City - Moreland City	7:1 ✺
21.06.24	Melbourne Knights - Moreland City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
27.04.24	Moreland City - Altona Magic	2:3
10.06.23	Altona Magic - Moreland City	3:1
10.03.23	Moreland City - Altona Magic	1:1

Altona Magic - Moreland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide