Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 13

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Paisley Park (Melbourne)


	Altona Magic		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.8	1.65	Watch
	4.3	4.17	1.68
	1.82	3.51	4.16	Watch
	4	3.8	1.67
	4.37	3.98	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (4.61)	3.85 ↓ (4.08)	2.15 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
27.1%

Draw
26.1%

Preston Lions
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

22.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altona Magic's performance.

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Preston Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altona Magic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altona Magic - Preston Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Altona Magic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Preston Lions is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Altona Magic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Preston Lions is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Altona Magic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
09.05.26	Avondale - Altona Magic	5:1 ✺
02.05.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona Magic - Dandenong Thunder	2:4 ✺
10.04.26	Heidelberg United - Altona Magic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTLT
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
08.05.26	Preston Lions - Dandenong City	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Dandenong Thunder - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Green Gully - Preston Lions	0:4 ✺
17.04.26	Bentleigh Greens - Preston Lions	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
31.05.25	Altona Magic - Preston Lions	0:2
21.02.25	Preston Lions - Altona Magic	1:0

Altona Magic - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide